2026 NFL Draft Day 1 Recap: Biggest Surprises, Best Picks, and What’s Next

The 2026 NFL Draft kicked off with a bang as quarterback Fernando Mendoza was selected first overall by the Raiders, setting the tone for a night full of unexpected moves and strategic gambles. The Rams shocked many by selecting quarterback Ty Simpson at No. 13, signaling a bold shift in their future plans.

With all 32 first-round picks finalized, analysts Matt Miller, Jordan Reid, and Field Yates break down the best selections, puzzling decisions, and how teams addressed their most pressing needs. As the second round approaches, the draft’s ripple effects are already shaping team strategies and fan expectations.

Top First-Round Picks That Could Change the Game

Safety Dillon Thieneman’s unexpected fall to the Bears at No. 18 was a highlight, with Matt Miller praising his versatility and fit alongside Coby Bryant. Jordan Reid spotlighted Caleb Downs going to the Cowboys at No. 11, a key addition to shore up their defense against explosive plays. Field Yates lauded linebacker Sonny Styles joining the Commanders, filling a critical defensive gap with his coverage and pass-rushing skills.

• Dillon Thieneman (Bears) – Versatile free safety
• Caleb Downs (Cowboys) – Defensive backfield upgrade
• Sonny Styles (Commanders) – Coverage and pass rush threat

Most Confusing and Controversial Picks

Some selections raised eyebrows, including Arvell Reese to the Giants, who already have strong edge rushers. The Rams’ choice of Ty Simpson over more immediate offensive weapons surprised many, especially given their win-now mindset with Matthew Stafford still on the roster.

"Even if you make the case for Thibodeaux being traded, Burns is only 28 years old and has three years left on his contract. Best player available is talked about a lot, but not really at No. 5 overall.",—Matt Miller

Quarterback Carousel: What Ty Simpson’s Selection Means

With Simpson off the board early, teams still searching for a franchise quarterback may need to look deeper into the draft or wait until next year. Analysts suggest that the next tier of quarterbacks like Garrett Nussmeier and Carson Beck will likely be picked in later rounds, with the Cardinals facing a critical decision at No. 34 in Round 2.

Surprises, Regrets, and Trades That Shaped Round 1

The Cowboys’ decision to trade back and allow the Eagles to snag wide receiver Makai Lemon was a major shock, potentially handing a division rival a key offensive weapon. Meanwhile, the Vikings took a gamble on injured defensive tackle Caleb Banks, hoping for a high reward if he returns to form. Analysts also reflected on missed opportunities, such as the Chiefs not selecting a cornerback earlier despite significant roster losses.

• Cowboys trading back, letting Eagles get Makai Lemon
• Vikings drafting injured Caleb Banks
• Chiefs missing early cornerback pick

Looking Ahead: What to Watch in Round 2 and Beyond

The second round promises more action, with teams like the Cardinals expected to address quarterback needs quickly. Analysts predict a flurry of trades and cornerback selections early in Round 2, as well as continued strategic moves by teams aiming to fill glaring roster gaps. Fantasy football fans are also eyeing rookies like Carnell Tate and Jordyn Tyson for immediate impact.

"Will the deluge of trades continue at the top of Round 2? There was a lot of shuffling Thursday, especially in the last third of the first round. I have a sneaky hunch that there will be more wheeling and dealing early Friday.",—Field Yates